Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.050190 0.058638 0.068049 0.079307 0.092409 0.107175 0.125084
2025-10-05 0.037645 0.048825 0.062603 0.080822 0.104284 0.133487 0.172625
2025-10-12 0.029982 0.042125 0.058292 0.081372 0.113478 0.156580 0.218904
2025-10-19 0.024805 0.037222 0.054837 0.081619 0.121310 0.177996 0.265221
2025-10-26 0.021330 0.033881 0.052689 0.082880 0.130133 0.201311 0.316855
2025-11-02 0.018953 0.031672 0.051685 0.085403 0.140800 0.228291 0.377228
2025-11-09 0.015996 0.028005 0.047767 0.082569 0.142349 0.240942 0.416231
2025-11-16 0.014061 0.025698 0.045656 0.082271 0.147794 0.260253 0.468355
2025-11-23 0.012381 0.023558 0.043482 0.081460 0.152076 0.277873 0.519516
2025-11-30 0.011305 0.022339 0.042735 0.083032 0.160697 0.303959 0.588939
2025-12-07 0.010069 0.020627 0.040828 0.082130 0.164499 0.321564 0.644567
2025-12-14 0.008855 0.018777 0.038402 0.079859 0.165285 0.333423 0.690362
2025-12-21 0.007751 0.017013 0.035949 0.077280 0.165270 0.344019 0.735703
2025-12-28 0.007209 0.016359 0.035668 0.079160 0.174696 0.374754 0.826666
2026-01-04 0.006618 0.015508 0.034854 0.079777 0.181491 0.400824 0.911046
2026-01-11 0.006066 0.014665 0.033941 0.080034 0.187498 0.425879 0.996352
2026-01-18 0.005647 0.014067 0.033492 0.081274 0.195858 0.457053 1.099403
2026-01-25 0.005351 0.013720 0.033570 0.083749 0.207395 0.496737 1.227251
2026-02-01 0.004761 0.012562 0.031579 0.080970 0.205986 0.506221 1.284171
2026-02-08 0.004378 0.011878 0.030646 0.080677 0.210635 0.530627 1.380751
2026-02-15 0.004009 0.011174 0.029573 0.079882 0.213901 0.552022 1.472456
2026-02-22 0.003790 0.010842 0.029405 0.081424 0.223405 0.590107 1.612019
2026-03-01 0.003480 0.010214 0.028382 0.080539 0.226354 0.611760 1.710913